The Climate Change scenarios come from simulations with Global Climate Models (GCMs). Current GCMs simulate mass and energy exchanges between ocean, land and the atmosphere. Simulations come to ... [Keep reading...]
In these ClimaRisk readings you will learn about how climate change projections are simulated, how weather variability and extremes are characterized, how the rainfall or temperature probabilities can be predicted some months in advance and how to generate climate scenarios for impact studies and risk management, using weather generators.
Usually, climate means the statistical average weather over a 30-year period. Instead, climate variability refers to dispersion around those means, generally at local scales and for shorter ... [Keep reading...]
Combining seasonal forecasts with weather generators is a suitable approach to estimate climate risks for the coming weeks or months. Local climate variability depends on global climate patterns, ... [Keep reading...]
Weather generators provide synthetic daily values of meteorological variables, statistically equivalent to observed local series of those variables. IPCC suggests the use of weather generators. They ... [Keep reading...]